La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 17:30
13.0531.3%
X3.9024.5%
22.1644.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LWDWDLDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Real Madrid
WWLWDWWLDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.50
Against
4.20
9.30
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.20
9.30
Match total
8.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.50
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
26.70
Match total
24.30

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
5.00
On target
5.40
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%25.5%-5.8 pp
Draw24.5%27.7%+3.2 pp
Away44.2%46.8%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.6%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS80.9%

Historical average

1.471.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.0%
1-114.9%
2-114.9%
2-210.6%
2-48.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.005.51
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.9%
Over 9.563.8%
Over 10.551.1%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away80.0%