La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 17:30
13.0531.3%
X3.9024.5%
22.1644.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
LWDWDLDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Real Madrid
WWLWDWWLDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.50
Against
4.20
9.30
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
2.20goals per matchReal Madrid conceded1.10Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.90goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.20
9.30
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
26.70
Match total
24.30
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
5.00
On target
5.40
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%25.5%-5.8 pp
Draw24.5%27.7%+3.2 pp
Away44.2%46.8%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.6%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS80.9%
Historical average
1.47–1.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-217.0%
1-114.9%
2-114.9%
2-210.6%
2-48.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–5.51
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.9%
Over 9.563.8%
Over 10.551.1%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away80.0%