La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 13:00
15.0718.8%
X3.8824.6%
21.6956.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
LLLDLWWLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Celta
WLDLLLDLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.10
Against
3.90
10.40
Total
7.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.70goals per match
Celta conceded1.70
Matchup

Celta attack

1.00goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.90
10.40
Match total
7.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.90
Match total
24.80

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
2.60
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches200
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.8%17.0%-1.8 pp
Draw24.6%21.0%-3.6 pp
Away56.5%62.0%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

0.831.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.0%
0-212.5%
1-211.5%
1-110.5%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.675.82
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=200.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%13.1%–33.6% CI
Draw FT30.0%19.9%–42.5% CI
Away FT48.3%36.2%–60.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals31.7%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.7%
Away61.7%