La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-14 · 20:00
12.9132.9%
X3.0231.7%
22.7035.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Las Palmas
DLWLWWLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Alaves
LLLLDDWLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
7.70
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.00goals per match
Alaves conceded1.80
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.20goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
7.70
Match total
7.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
7.60
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
26.50
Match total
33.10

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches460
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%34.1%+1.3 pp
Draw31.7%32.6%+0.9 pp
Away35.4%33.3%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.514.1%
BTTS45.4%

Historical average

1.041.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-013.7%
1-011.1%
0-111.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.504.56
Average total9.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=460.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.542.8%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.523.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches187
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.6%26.3%–39.6% CI
Draw FT47.1%40.0%–54.2% CI
Away FT20.3%15.2%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.3%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away38.5%