La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 20:00
12.2043.3%
X3.1530.2%
23.5926.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WDLWWDWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sevilla
DLWLLLWDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
9.40
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.30goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.70
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.60goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
9.40
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
25.20
Match total
20.30

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches812
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%44.2%+0.9 pp
Draw30.2%32.9%+2.7 pp
Away26.5%22.9%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.330.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-012.2%
0-011.9%
2-011.2%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.08
Average total9.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=812.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.2%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.522.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches314
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.8%27.8%–38.2% CI
Draw FT48.1%42.6%–53.6% CI
Away FT19.1%15.1%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away41.1%