La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 15:15
11.2874.7%
X5.9716.0%
210.239.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Vallecano
DWLLWDDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.60
Against
5.90
10.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
3.70
Total goals
1.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.60goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.70
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.70goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.90
10.80
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.90
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
21.50
Match total
23.80

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
7.10
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.7%78.9%+4.2 pp
Draw16.0%12.2%-3.8 pp
Away9.3%8.9%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

2.540.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.4%
1-011.4%
2-110.6%
3-010.6%
4-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.143.20
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.5%47.3%–80.1% CI
Draw FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT10.3%3.6%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals55.2%
3+ goals27.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.3%
Away34.5%