La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 13:00
14.4821.2%
X3.1030.7%
21.9848.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Getafe
WDDLWWLDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Ath Madrid
DWDLWWWLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
0.60
10%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
0.80
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.30
Against
4.90
7.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
0.60
1.60
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.60
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Getafe conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.90
7.10
Match total
8.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
7.00
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
32.20
Match total
21.40

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.2%18.2%-3.1 pp
Draw30.7%45.5%+14.8 pp
Away48.1%36.4%-11.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.59.1%
BTTS31.8%

Historical average

0.591.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.2%
1-118.2%
0-018.2%
0-113.6%
0-313.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.825.14
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

0.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away30.0%