La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 20:00
13.8924.6%
X4.1123.2%
21.8352.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LLLDWWLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Barcelona
WWWWDWWLLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
8.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.30goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.20
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.10goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
8.40
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
25.00
Match total
23.20

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.20
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.6%15.2%-9.3 pp
Draw23.2%32.6%+9.4 pp
Away52.2%52.2%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

1.041.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
2-210.9%
2-310.9%
0-18.7%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.525.65
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away57.1%