La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 15:15
11.9648.6%
X3.5526.9%
23.8924.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
WWLLLWDWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Valencia
LWWLLLWWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Against
5.90
8.30
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.40goals per matchValencia conceded1.20Matchup
Valencia attack
0.90goals per matchCelta conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
1.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.90
8.30
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
25.20
Match total
24.90
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches762
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%46.9%-1.8 pp
Draw26.9%27.7%+0.8 pp
Away24.5%25.5%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
1.55–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.2%
1-010.9%
2-19.1%
2-08.4%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.61–4.43
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=762.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches250
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.8%31.1%–42.9% CI
Draw FT37.2%31.4%–43.3% CI
Away FT26.0%21.0%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals16.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.2%
Away45.2%