La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 15:15
11.9648.6%
X3.5526.9%
23.8924.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WWLLLWDWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Valencia
LWWLLLWWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Against
5.90
8.30
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.40goals per match
Valencia conceded1.20
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.90goals per match
Celta conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
1.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.90
8.30
Match total
7.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
25.20
Match total
24.90

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches762
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%46.9%-1.8 pp
Draw26.9%27.7%+0.8 pp
Away24.5%25.5%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.551.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-010.9%
2-19.1%
2-08.4%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.614.43
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=762.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches250
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.8%31.1%–42.9% CI
Draw FT37.2%31.4%–43.3% CI
Away FT26.0%21.0%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away45.2%