La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-25 · 17:30
12.8833.2%
X3.5127.2%
22.4139.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LLLDDWDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Ath Bilbao
WLDDLWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.80
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
29.30
Match total
25.70

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.80
On target
2.40
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches275
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%27.3%-5.9 pp
Draw27.2%33.1%+5.9 pp
Away39.6%39.6%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

1.291.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-29.1%
0-17.6%
1-27.3%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.925.11
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.9%14.0%–32.7% CI
Draw FT43.8%33.0%–55.2% CI
Away FT34.2%24.4%–45.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away56.2%