La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-25 · 15:15
12.4039.8%
X3.4527.7%
22.9332.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
DDDLLWDLWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Ath Madrid
LWDLDLWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.00
Against
3.80
9.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
1.70
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.30
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.30goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.80
9.50
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.70
Match total
25.00

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.60
On target
5.90
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches594
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%40.9%+1.1 pp
Draw27.7%29.0%+1.3 pp
Away32.6%30.1%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.481.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
2-19.1%
0-18.2%
0-08.1%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.67
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=593.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.8%26.4%–39.9% CI
Draw FT41.5%34.6%–48.8% CI
Away FT25.7%19.9%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away48.6%