La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-25 · 13:00
12.9032.9%
X3.7225.6%
22.3041.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osasuna
WWWLWWLLLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Villarreal
LLWDWWDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Against
6.70
8.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.80
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.90goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.70
8.90
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.90
Match total
6.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.60
Match total
23.20

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.40
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%26.5%-6.4 pp
Draw25.6%35.3%+9.7 pp
Away41.5%38.2%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS68.6%

Historical average

1.391.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.6%
1-213.7%
2-28.8%
1-05.9%
2-04.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.834.72
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI
Away FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals67.9%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away67.9%