La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
13.2429.5%
X3.9324.3%
22.0746.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LWDDDWWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Real Madrid
DWWWDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.70
Against
4.80
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
3.00
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.80
9.90
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
27.70
Match total
25.40

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
6.10
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.5%29.4%-0.1 pp
Draw24.3%11.8%-12.6 pp
Away46.2%58.8%+12.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.564.7%
BTTS82.4%

Historical average

2.002.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-417.6%
1-211.8%
1-45.9%
2-25.9%
0-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.355.35
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.588.2%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals68.2%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.2%
Away63.6%