La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
12.9232.8%
X3.6226.5%
22.3540.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WWWDDWDLLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Girona
DDWLLLLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.90
Against
4.00
8.20
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
1.70
Total goals
2.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Girona conceded1.50
Matchup

Girona attack

0.90goals per match
Valencia conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.00
8.20
Match total
7.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
26.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches274
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%29.6%-3.2 pp
Draw26.5%34.3%+7.9 pp
Away40.8%36.1%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.251.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-08.8%
2-28.4%
1-08.0%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.84
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=273.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%16.0%–34.5% CI
Draw FT48.1%37.4%–58.9% CI
Away FT27.8%19.2%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.0%
Away49.4%