La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
12.6136.7%
X3.1430.5%
22.9232.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Betis
DWLDDWLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sociedad
DLWDWLWWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
3.90
10.80
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Betis attack
1.60goals per matchSociedad conceded1.10Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.10goals per matchBetis conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.90
10.80
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.70
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
23.40
Match total
29.10
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches725
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%35.2%-1.5 pp
Draw30.5%36.3%+5.8 pp
Away32.8%28.6%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
1.14–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.8%
1-012.7%
0-011.7%
0-19.1%
2-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.56
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=724.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches264
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.4%26.1%–37.3% CI
Draw FT48.1%42.1%–54.1% CI
Away FT20.5%16.0%–25.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.8%
Away40.5%