La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
12.6136.7%
X3.1430.5%
22.9232.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Betis
DWLDDWLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sociedad
DLWDWLWWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
3.90
10.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Betis attack

1.60goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.10goals per match
Betis conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.90
10.80
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.70
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
23.40
Match total
29.10

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches725
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%35.2%-1.5 pp
Draw30.5%36.3%+5.8 pp
Away32.8%28.6%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.141.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
1-012.7%
0-011.7%
0-19.1%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.56
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=724.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches264
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.4%26.1%–37.3% CI
Draw FT48.1%42.1%–54.1% CI
Away FT20.5%16.0%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away40.5%