La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
11.2775.4%
X6.1215.6%
210.639.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
LWLWDWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Vallecano
LWDLLLLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
0.40
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.50
2.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.40
Against
4.40
10.20
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.40goals per matchVallecano conceded1.20Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.40goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.40
10.20
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.20
Match total
28.50
Shots
20.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
7.70
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches127
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.4%75.6%+0.2 pp
Draw15.6%15.7%+0.1 pp
Away9.0%8.7%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
2.47–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.8%
2-010.2%
1-19.4%
4-09.4%
3-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.13–2.97
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.533.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.85
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away35.0%