La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
11.2775.4%
X6.1215.6%
210.639.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
LWLWDWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Vallecano
LWDLLLLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.40
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.50
2.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.40
Against
4.40
10.20
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
1.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.40goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.40
10.20
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.20
Match total
28.50

Shots

20.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
7.70
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches127
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.4%75.6%+0.2 pp
Draw15.6%15.7%+0.1 pp
Away9.0%8.7%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

2.470.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.8%
2-010.2%
1-19.4%
4-09.4%
3-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.132.97
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away35.0%