La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
11.4068.2%
X4.9119.5%
27.7512.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
DWWWWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Osasuna
LDLWDLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.50
Against
5.10
9.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.20goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.50
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.10
9.30
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.40
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.40
Match total
24.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.60
On target
2.80
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches194
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.2%69.6%+1.4 pp
Draw19.5%17.5%-1.9 pp
Away12.3%12.9%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

2.090.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
2-113.9%
2-010.8%
3-07.7%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.903.29
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=194.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.2%45.2%–71.8% CI
Draw FT22.4%13.0%–35.9% CI
Away FT18.4%10.0%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.8%
2+ goals51.0%
3+ goals26.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.6%
Away40.8%