La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-16 · 21:00
11.6558.1%
X3.7625.5%
25.8516.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WDDDLLWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Valencia
LLWWLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Against
5.90
9.70
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.00goals per match
Valencia conceded1.30
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
1.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.90
9.70
Match total
7.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.90
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.30
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%57.3%-0.8 pp
Draw25.5%26.8%+1.3 pp
Away16.4%15.9%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.620.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.9%
1-014.0%
1-110.4%
0-09.8%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.553.64
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%31.4%–56.7% CI
Draw FT41.8%29.7%–55.0% CI
Away FT14.5%7.6%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.8%
Away32.7%