La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-16 · 20:30
16.6214.5%
X5.3218.0%
21.4267.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
DDDLDDDLLL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Barcelona
DWWWWDWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
0.60goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.30Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.00goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
26.30
Match total
23.20
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.20
On target
4.80
4%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%11.8%-2.7 pp
Draw18.0%17.6%-0.4 pp
Away67.5%70.6%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.12–2.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.8%
0-311.8%
0-111.8%
0-211.8%
2-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
3.47–4.35
Average total7.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.1%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT54.2%35.1%–72.1% CI
Remaining goals
2.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals37.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away66.7%