La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-16 · 20:30
16.6214.5%
X5.3218.0%
21.4267.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
DDDLDDDLLL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Barcelona
DWWWWDWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.60goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.30
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.00goals per match
Almeria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
26.30
Match total
23.20

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.20
On target
4.80
4%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%11.8%-2.7 pp
Draw18.0%17.6%-0.4 pp
Away67.5%70.6%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.122.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.8%
0-311.8%
0-111.8%
0-211.8%
2-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.474.35
Average total7.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.1%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT54.2%35.1%–72.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%