La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 21:00
14.7020.4%
X3.5427.0%
21.8252.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Getafe
WLWLWDWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
LLWDLDLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.50
7.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Getafe attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.50
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.00goals per match
Getafe conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.50
7.60
Match total
9.10
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
27.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.20
On target
5.90
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%27.9%+7.6 pp
Draw27.0%23.5%-3.5 pp
Away52.6%48.5%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.061.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-011.8%
0-211.8%
1-111.8%
1-210.3%
0-38.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.626.29
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal55.6%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.8%
Away50.0%