La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 21:00
12.6136.7%
X3.3728.4%
22.7434.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DWWLLLWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DWLDDLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.10
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.00
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.90goals per match
Celta conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.50
Match total
24.80

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches742
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%35.0%-1.6 pp
Draw28.4%28.3%-0.1 pp
Away34.9%36.7%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.281.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-210.2%
1-09.4%
0-19.0%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.67
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=742.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches226
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.9%26.1%–38.2% CI
Draw FT37.6%31.6%–44.1% CI
Away FT30.5%24.9%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away54.9%