La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 18:30
11.6757.3%
X3.7725.4%
25.5417.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
DLLLDDWDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Granada
LLLLDLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Against
7.30
9.50
Total
9.60
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
1.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.70goals per matchGranada conceded2.00Matchup
Granada attack
0.50goals per matchVallecano conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.30
9.50
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.90
Match total
27.60
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.30
5%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%58.9%+1.6 pp
Draw25.4%25.4%+0.0 pp
Away17.3%15.7%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS52.3%
Historical average
1.70–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.3%
2-114.3%
1-112.9%
2-010.8%
0-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.85–3.66
Average total9.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.7%41.5%–61.8% CI
Draw FT30.3%21.8%–40.5% CI
Away FT18.0%11.4%–27.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.3%
Away36.0%