La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-14 · 21:00
11.7056.5%
X4.5321.2%
24.3122.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Villarreal
LLLWDWWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Against
7.30
8.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
4.00
Total goals
4.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Girona attack

3.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded2.20
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.90goals per match
Girona conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.30
8.10
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
22.00
Match total
24.10

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.00
On target
3.40
27%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%63.6%+7.1 pp
Draw21.2%27.3%+6.1 pp
Away22.3%9.1%-13.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.551.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-018.2%
4-19.1%
1-09.1%
3-19.1%
1-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.916.45
Average total12.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.572.7%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.554.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away41.2%