La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-14 · 20:30
11.2179.5%
X7.0313.7%
214.076.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWDWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Alaves
DLDWWDLLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.60goals per match
Alaves conceded1.10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
22.10
Match total
24.80

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.00
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.5%84.8%+5.3 pp
Draw13.7%13.0%-0.6 pp
Away6.8%2.2%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.539.1%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

2.720.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.2%
2-114.1%
2-012.0%
1-18.7%
4-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.622.80
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals36.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.2%
Away42.1%