La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-13 · 20:00
11.8252.4%
X3.7225.6%
24.3521.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WLWLWDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sociedad
WDLWDWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
2.60
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.40
Against
3.80
10.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.90
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.30goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.90
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
3.80
10.30
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
22.50
Match total
29.70

Shots

20.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
7.40
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%51.9%-0.5 pp
Draw25.6%30.5%+4.9 pp
Away21.9%17.6%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.650.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-012.2%
1-010.7%
0-09.9%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.904.40
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.4%33.2%–54.1% CI
Draw FT44.6%34.4%–55.3% CI
Away FT12.0%6.7%–20.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away33.7%