La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-13 · 20:00
11.8252.4%
X3.7225.6%
24.3521.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WLWLWDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sociedad
WDLWDWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
2.60
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.40
Against
3.80
10.30
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.90
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.30goals per matchSociedad conceded0.90Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.40goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
3.80
10.30
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
22.50
Match total
29.70
Shots
20.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
7.40
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%51.9%-0.5 pp
Draw25.6%30.5%+4.9 pp
Away21.9%17.6%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.6%
Historical average
1.65–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
2-012.2%
1-010.7%
0-09.9%
2-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.90–4.40
Average total10.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.534.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.4%33.2%–54.1% CI
Draw FT44.6%34.4%–55.3% CI
Away FT12.0%6.7%–20.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.6%
Away33.7%