La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 17:30
12.2842.0%
X3.0831.1%
23.5527.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valencia
DWWWDDWDLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Vallecano
LLWDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.60
1.00
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
8.30
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valencia attack
1.10goals per matchVallecano conceded1.60Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.40goals per matchValencia conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
8.30
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.90
Match total
27.60
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches513
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%41.3%-0.6 pp
Draw31.1%32.6%+1.5 pp
Away27.0%26.1%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
1.23–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
1-012.5%
0-011.5%
0-19.9%
2-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.80–3.93
Average total8.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=513.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.2%
Over 9.537.6%
Over 10.527.9%
Over 11.519.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%24.7%–37.4% CI
Draw FT47.5%40.7%–54.4% CI
Away FT21.8%16.6%–28.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.5%
Away45.5%