La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 17:30
12.2842.0%
X3.0831.1%
23.5527.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DWWWDDWDLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Vallecano
LLWDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.60
1.00
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
8.30
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.60
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.40goals per match
Valencia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
8.30
Match total
7.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.90
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches513
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%41.3%-0.6 pp
Draw31.1%32.6%+1.5 pp
Away27.0%26.1%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.230.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-012.5%
0-011.5%
0-19.9%
2-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.803.93
Average total8.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=513.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.2%
Over 9.537.6%
Over 10.527.9%
Over 11.519.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%24.7%–37.4% CI
Draw FT47.5%40.7%–54.4% CI
Away FT21.8%16.6%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away45.5%