La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 15:15
11.4466.5%
X4.6420.6%
27.4212.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WDWWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Celta
DLDWLDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.30
Against
6.90
10.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.40
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.30goals per match
Celta conceded1.90
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.90
10.00
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.20
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.20
19%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches233
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.5%70.4%+3.9 pp
Draw20.6%21.9%+1.3 pp
Away12.9%7.7%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

2.410.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.2%
2-010.7%
3-18.6%
0-08.2%
1-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.563.60
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%41.7%–66.3% CI
Draw FT42.4%30.6%–55.1% CI
Away FT3.4%0.9%–11.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals52.5%
3+ goals23.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away27.1%