La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 15:15
11.4466.5%
X4.6420.6%
27.4212.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WDWWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Celta
DLDWLDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.30
Against
6.90
10.00
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
2.30goals per matchCelta conceded1.90Matchup
Celta attack
1.30goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.90
10.00
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.20
Match total
25.00
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.20
19%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches233
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.5%70.4%+3.9 pp
Draw20.6%21.9%+1.3 pp
Away12.9%7.7%-5.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
2.41–0.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.2%
2-010.7%
3-18.6%
0-08.2%
1-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.56–3.60
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%41.7%–66.3% CI
Draw FT42.4%30.6%–55.1% CI
Away FT3.4%0.9%–11.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals52.5%
3+ goals23.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.4%
Away27.1%