La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 17:30
15.8016.5%
X4.5720.9%
21.5362.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
DLWLDDLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Real Madrid
WDWWWDDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.40
Against
4.40
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
2.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Granada conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.40
9.40
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.70
Match total
26.50

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.10
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%17.2%+0.7 pp
Draw20.9%16.4%-4.5 pp
Away62.6%66.4%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

0.892.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
0-210.2%
0-110.2%
0-37.8%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.916.32
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.6%6.9%–31.8% CI
Draw FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Away FT53.1%36.4%–69.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away62.5%