La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:15
11.8751.2%
X3.9424.3%
23.9024.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WLWDDDWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sevilla
WLLWDLDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.80goals per matchSevilla conceded1.10Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.20goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.40
Match total
22.60
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%46.6%-4.6 pp
Draw24.3%24.6%+0.3 pp
Away24.5%28.8%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS68.6%
Historical average
1.90–1.47
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.9%
1-29.3%
2-07.6%
3-26.8%
1-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.89–4.43
Average total10.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.3%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Draw FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Away FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals32.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.0%
Away40.0%