La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:15
11.8751.2%
X3.9424.3%
23.9024.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WLWDDDWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sevilla
WLLWDLDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.40
Match total
22.60

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%46.6%-4.6 pp
Draw24.3%24.6%+0.3 pp
Away24.5%28.8%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS68.6%

Historical average

1.901.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
1-29.3%
2-07.6%
3-26.8%
1-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.43
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.3%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Draw FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Away FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals32.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.0%
Away40.0%