La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 20:00
13.4827.6%
X3.5726.9%
22.1145.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
LLWLDDWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Girona
WDDWLLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.40
Against
4.30
11.90
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.80
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Girona conceded1.50
Matchup

Girona attack

1.10goals per match
Alaves conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.30
11.90
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.40
Match total
23.60

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.20
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches250
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%25.6%-2.0 pp
Draw26.9%27.2%+0.3 pp
Away45.5%47.2%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

1.211.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-210.4%
2-17.6%
0-17.6%
0-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.605.40
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=250.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%11.9%–30.8% CI
Draw FT42.4%31.2%–54.4% CI
Away FT37.9%27.1%–49.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals53.0%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%