La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 20:00
11.5860.5%
X4.1523.0%
25.8016.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DDLLLDDWDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Almeria
LLLLLLDLWD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
0.80
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
6.20
8.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
1.70
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.80goals per match
Almeria conceded1.70
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.20
8.90
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.60
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
29.30
Match total
25.30

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.70
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches375
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.5%60.0%-0.5 pp
Draw23.0%24.0%+1.0 pp
Away16.5%16.0%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS49.9%

Historical average

1.900.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.7%
1-111.2%
1-010.7%
2-19.3%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.333.83
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=375.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%36.0%–54.8% CI
Draw FT35.6%27.0%–45.1% CI
Away FT19.2%12.8%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.6%
Away45.2%