La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 20:00
11.6558.0%
X4.0723.5%
25.1818.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
DDLLLDWWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Granada
LLLLLDLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.60
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Against
7.40
9.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Granada conceded2.00
Matchup

Granada attack

0.60goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.40
9.10
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
25.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.20
On target
2.40
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches263
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%62.7%+4.7 pp
Draw23.5%17.1%-6.4 pp
Away18.5%20.2%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

1.780.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.7%
2-113.3%
2-012.2%
0-18.0%
1-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.183.92
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=263.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.0%46.4%–66.9% CI
Draw FT22.1%14.6%–31.9% CI
Away FT20.9%13.7%–30.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.7%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.8%
Away36.0%