La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 17:30
12.1344.9%
X3.0031.9%
24.1323.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DDWWWDDWDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Alaves
LDLDWWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.90
8.30
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.10goals per match
Alaves conceded1.30
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.80goals per match
Valencia conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.90
8.30
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.30
Match total
24.30

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%44.5%-0.4 pp
Draw31.9%30.1%-1.8 pp
Away23.2%25.3%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS41.8%

Historical average

1.190.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
1-113.7%
0-013.0%
0-111.6%
2-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.363.81
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.5%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%19.9%–42.5% CI
Draw FT48.3%36.2%–60.7% CI
Away FT21.7%13.1%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals28.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away41.7%