La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 15:15
12.3740.4%
X3.6426.3%
22.8733.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DDWWLLLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Villarreal
DLLLWDWWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
2.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Against
7.90
9.80
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
1.90
Total goals
3.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded2.00
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.80goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.90
9.80
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Match total
6.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.00
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%34.7%-5.7 pp
Draw26.3%27.3%+1.0 pp
Away33.3%38.0%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.501.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
1-27.9%
1-07.4%
0-07.4%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.88
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%23.5%–46.0% CI
Draw FT43.1%31.8%–55.2% CI
Away FT23.1%14.5%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away43.1%