La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:30
12.7335.1%
X3.8125.1%
22.4139.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
DWWWWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Barcelona
DDWWWWDWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
8.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Girona attack

2.70goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.00
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.90goals per match
Girona conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
8.00
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.00
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.50
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.50
On target
4.50
24%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%20.0%-15.1 pp
Draw25.1%33.3%+8.2 pp
Away39.8%46.7%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.331.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
0-213.3%
1-213.3%
2-16.7%
3-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.405.13
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.546.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away90.9%