La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:15
11.3471.3%
X5.3317.9%
28.9210.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Cadiz
DDDLLDLDLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.50
0.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
9.00
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.50goals per matchCadiz conceded1.50Matchup
Cadiz attack
0.50goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
9.00
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
22.50
Match total
28.80
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.50
On target
2.70
15%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches185
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.3%76.2%+4.9 pp
Draw17.9%15.7%-2.3 pp
Away10.7%8.1%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS45.4%
Historical average
2.29–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.7%
2-012.4%
2-111.4%
4-17.6%
3-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.46–3.21
Average total10.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=185.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.538.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%48.4%–74.8% CI
Draw FT29.2%18.2%–43.2% CI
Away FT8.3%3.3%–19.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away20.8%