La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:15
11.3471.3%
X5.3317.9%
28.9210.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Cadiz
DDDLLDLDLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.50
0.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
9.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.50goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.50
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.50goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
9.00
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
22.50
Match total
28.80

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.50
On target
2.70
15%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches185
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.3%76.2%+4.9 pp
Draw17.9%15.7%-2.3 pp
Away10.7%8.1%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS45.4%

Historical average

2.290.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.7%
2-012.4%
2-111.4%
4-17.6%
3-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.463.21
Average total10.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=185.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%48.4%–74.8% CI
Draw FT29.2%18.2%–43.2% CI
Away FT8.3%3.3%–19.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away20.8%