La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 13:00
11.3570.8%
X4.9919.2%
29.5010.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LWDDDLLWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Las Palmas
DLWLWDLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.20
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

0.80goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.70
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

0.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
25.40
Match total
25.60

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%72.0%+1.2 pp
Draw19.2%16.0%-3.2 pp
Away10.1%12.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS34.0%

Historical average

1.880.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
2-018.0%
2-110.0%
3-010.0%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.702.92
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away35.3%