La Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 13:00
11.3570.8%
X4.9919.2%
29.5010.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad
LWDDDLLWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Las Palmas
DLWLWDLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.20
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad attack
0.80goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.70Matchup
Las Palmas attack
0.90goals per matchSociedad conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
25.40
Match total
25.60
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%72.0%+1.2 pp
Draw19.2%16.0%-3.2 pp
Away10.1%12.0%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS34.0%
Historical average
1.88–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
2-018.0%
2-110.0%
3-010.0%
0-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.70–2.92
Average total9.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.524.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals29.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.5%
Away35.3%