La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-29 · 20:00
11.3670.3%
X5.2618.2%
28.2711.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWLWLWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Valencia
LLLWWLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
2.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.40
Against
4.80
9.00
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.10goals per match
Valencia conceded1.40
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.90goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.80
9.00
Match total
6.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
22.90
Match total
25.40

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
6.70
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.3%71.9%+1.6 pp
Draw18.2%17.4%-0.8 pp
Away11.6%10.7%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

2.260.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
2-112.9%
2-011.8%
1-17.3%
3-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.263.16
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=178.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.5%45.1%–70.7% CI
Draw FT30.2%19.5%–43.5% CI
Away FT11.3%5.3%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.8%
Away24.5%