La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 20:00
12.0846.0%
X3.3928.2%
23.7025.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Betis
WDDWLDDWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sevilla
LWLLWDLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
11.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Betis attack

1.40goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.10goals per match
Betis conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
11.70
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.60
Match total
21.80

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches477
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%43.2%-2.8 pp
Draw28.2%30.6%+2.4 pp
Away25.8%26.2%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.471.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-010.3%
2-110.1%
0-18.0%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.43
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=477.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches155
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%26.6%–41.3% CI
Draw FT38.1%30.8%–45.9% CI
Away FT28.4%21.9%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.5%
Away48.4%