La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 17:30
11.7355.3%
X3.9124.5%
24.7420.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LWLWDDDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Vallecano
DLLWDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.40
1.40
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.50
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Against
5.30
9.70
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.70goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.30
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.40goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.30
9.70
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.10
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.00
Match total
28.00

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.60
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches487
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%59.1%+3.8 pp
Draw24.5%21.8%-2.7 pp
Away20.2%19.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.820.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.3%
1-012.1%
1-111.5%
2-09.7%
3-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.134.06
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=487.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches140
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.1%43.9%–60.2% CI
Draw FT31.4%24.3%–39.5% CI
Away FT16.4%11.2%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.1%
Away40.0%