La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 13:00
12.6036.8%
X2.8633.5%
23.2229.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
LDDLDLDWWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Mallorca
LLDLDLDLDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.30
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.40
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.30
Against
4.60
8.50
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.70goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.30
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.30goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.60
8.50
Match total
7.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.30
Match total
2.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
30.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.70
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%40.0%+3.2 pp
Draw33.5%35.0%+1.5 pp
Away29.7%25.0%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.545.0%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS27.5%

Historical average

1.100.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-020.0%
0-117.5%
1-017.5%
1-17.5%
2-05.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.424.17
Average total8.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.545.0%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals14.3%
3+ goals4.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.1%
Away23.8%