La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 17:30
12.6636.0%
X3.1030.9%
22.9033.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WLLWLDDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Celta
DDLDWLDLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Against
6.60
11.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Celta conceded1.60
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Alaves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.60
11.60
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.80
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
2.90
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches658
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%33.0%-3.1 pp
Draw30.9%35.7%+4.8 pp
Away33.1%31.3%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.071.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-013.4%
1-012.5%
0-111.4%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.734.44
Average total9.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=658.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches246
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.3%23.9%–35.2% CI
Draw FT46.3%40.2%–52.6% CI
Away FT24.4%19.4%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.3%
Away39.4%