La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:15
12.7235.2%
X3.3128.9%
22.6636.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
LDDDLDDDLL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Getafe
DLWDLDDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
3.70
9.50
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.60goals per match
Getafe conceded1.60
Matchup

Getafe attack

1.10goals per match
Almeria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.70
9.50
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.40
Match total
6.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
25.40
Match total
27.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.30
On target
4.60
4%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches902
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%31.4%-3.8 pp
Draw28.9%31.2%+2.3 pp
Away36.0%37.5%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.141.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-111.2%
1-09.1%
0-09.0%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.85
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=901.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches296
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.4%21.7%–31.6% CI
Draw FT40.9%35.4%–46.6% CI
Away FT32.8%27.7%–38.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away52.0%