La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-26 · 20:00
12.5038.4%
X3.2030.0%
23.0331.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WLWDDDLLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Real Madrid
WWDWWWDDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.40
Against
3.90
9.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
1.80
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

0.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.90
9.20
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.00
Match total
27.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.40
On target
5.60
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches684
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.5%+0.1 pp
Draw30.0%30.3%+0.3 pp
Away31.7%31.3%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.161.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-012.4%
0-011.4%
0-111.0%
2-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.50
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=684.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches250
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%22.1%–33.0% CI
Draw FT46.0%39.9%–52.2% CI
Away FT26.8%21.7%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.0%
Away46.0%