La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-22 · 20:00
11.9848.3%
X3.1430.5%
24.5221.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
DDDLLLDWWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Mallorca
LLLDLDLDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.40
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
1.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.10goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.20
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
7.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.3%48.5%+0.1 pp
Draw30.5%33.3%+2.9 pp
Away21.2%18.2%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.7%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.430.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-012.6%
1-011.6%
2-011.1%
2-110.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.413.69
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.529.3%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.0%31.1%–53.8% CI
Draw FT43.5%32.4%–55.2% CI
Away FT14.5%8.1%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.8%
2+ goals26.1%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.3%
Away31.9%