La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 20:00
11.8751.2%
X3.9624.2%
23.8924.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Barcelona
WDDWWWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.80
0.50
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.10
Against
5.60
8.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded
0.70
3.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.70goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.70
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.60
8.80
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
23.50
Match total
25.00

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.40
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%53.6%+2.4 pp
Draw24.2%22.6%-1.6 pp
Away24.6%23.8%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

2.141.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.7%
1-07.1%
1-27.1%
3-07.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.134.30
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away28.6%