La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 17:30
14.0823.5%
X3.4327.9%
21.9748.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WWLLWLDDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
LLLLWDLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
3.80
12.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.60
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.00goals per match
Alaves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.80
12.20
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
25.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
2.90
On target
6.00
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.5%24.3%+0.8 pp
Draw27.9%23.3%-4.6 pp
Away48.6%52.4%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.911.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.3%
1-111.9%
1-211.4%
1-011.4%
0-211.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.225.32
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.5%13.9%–31.8% CI
Draw FT40.5%30.4%–51.5% CI
Away FT38.0%28.1%–49.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.6%
Away55.7%