La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 15:15
13.4028.1%
X3.7525.5%
22.0646.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
LLDDDLDDDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Villarreal
LDLLLWDWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Against
8.00
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
2.10
Total goals
3.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

0.60goals per match
Villarreal conceded2.20
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.70goals per match
Almeria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
8.00
9.30
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.00
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
5%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%30.7%+2.6 pp
Draw25.5%22.7%-2.8 pp
Away46.4%46.6%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS65.9%

Historical average

1.361.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-29.1%
0-16.8%
2-26.8%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.16
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away66.7%