La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 20:00
11.4267.5%
X4.8119.9%
27.5912.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Girona
WDWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Cadiz
LDDDLLDLDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.80
8.50
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Girona attack
2.40goals per matchCadiz conceded1.20Matchup
Cadiz attack
0.40goals per matchGirona conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.80
8.50
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.70
Match total
29.30
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.20
On target
2.40
21%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.5%70.5%+3.1 pp
Draw19.9%16.1%-3.8 pp
Away12.6%13.4%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.533.5%
BTTS48.2%
Historical average
2.16–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.8%
2-112.5%
2-012.1%
1-16.7%
2-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.60–3.32
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.7%47.3%–71.0% CI
Draw FT24.2%15.2%–36.2% CI
Away FT16.1%9.0%–27.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.7%
2+ goals51.6%
3+ goals24.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.4%
Away37.1%