La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:15
12.2243.1%
X3.1330.6%
23.6326.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LDDLLLDDWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Osasuna
LLDLDLWDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
0.70
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.70goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.40
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.40
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
29.70
Match total
26.00

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches378
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.1%42.9%-0.2 pp
Draw30.6%30.7%+0.1 pp
Away26.4%26.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.513.8%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.210.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-013.2%
0-012.2%
0-110.3%
2-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.943.84
Average total8.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=378.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.5%
Over 9.539.7%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.520.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%24.0%–38.4% CI
Draw FT47.7%40.0%–55.6% CI
Away FT21.6%15.8%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away43.1%