La Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 13:00
11.7654.5%
X3.7125.9%
24.9019.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LDDWWLLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Las Palmas
WDLWLWDLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.70
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Celta attack

0.70goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.40
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.00goals per match
Celta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.90
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
26.40
Match total
26.90

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.90
5%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches530
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%58.3%+3.8 pp
Draw25.9%23.4%-2.5 pp
Away19.6%18.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.700.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
2-113.6%
1-110.2%
2-09.6%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.973.92
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=530.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.4%39.0%–54.0% CI
Draw FT37.3%30.4%–44.9% CI
Away FT16.3%11.4%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals42.8%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away39.2%